1Q:26 results were mostly in line with our expectations, with adjusted EPS of $0.07, as higher net charge offs (NCO) weighed on year over year comparisons. Still, the company delivered its sixth consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability and OPRT-direct EPS registered $0.21.
OPRT reaffirmed 2026 guidance of adjusted EBITDA of $150-$165 million, up 6% at the midpoint. The company's adjusted EPS guidance of $1.50-$1.65 incorporates various exclusions and represents strong 16% growth at the midpoint; we estimate company-adjusted EPS of $1.54. Our 2026 EPS estimate (exludes fair value changes) is $1.13.
New CEO Doug Bland, only a few weeks into the role, emphasized improving through-cycle credit performance to rebuild durable, profitable growth.
Our 2026 estimates imply gradually improving credit performance and continued debt repayment driving 13% year over year growth in OPRT-adjusted EPS to $1.54 (guidance is $1.50-$1.65) and 7% growth in adjusted EBITDA to $159 million ($150-$165 million).
We expect OPRT to maintain a conservative approach to underwriting, as credit should improve throughout 2026. After a 12.7% net charge off (NCO) rate in 1Q:26, we expect the rate to step down to the low-11% range to reach the 2026 NCO rate guidance of 11.9% (+/- 50 basis points).
Balance sheet improvement remains a key growth driver. OPRT reduced interest expense by 16% year over year to $48 million in 1Q:26 on debt repayment. The company ended 1Q:26 with leverage of 6.8x (7.6x at 1Q:25).
We maintain our $10 price target, based on an approximate 7x multiple applied to our 2027 adjusted EPS estimate of $1.54. Our moderate risk rating reflects the economic sensitivity of OPRT's borrowing cohort and its credit products.
08 May 2026
OPRT's 1Q:26 Results In Line With Expectations; Earnings Lower Due To Higher NCO, As Expected; 2026 Guidance Reaffirmed; Highlight Risk Based Pricing; Maintain $10 Price Target
Sign up for free to access
Get access to the latest equity research in real-time from 12 commissioned providers.
Get access to the latest equity research in real-time from 12 commissioned providers.
OPRT's 1Q:26 Results In Line With Expectations; Earnings Lower Due To Higher NCO, As Expected; 2026 Guidance Reaffirmed; Highlight Risk Based Pricing; Maintain $10 Price Target
Oportun Financial Corp (OPRT:NYSE) | 0 0 0.0%
- Published:
08 May 2026 -
Author:
Brendan McCarthy -
Pages:
10 -
1Q:26 results were mostly in line with our expectations, with adjusted EPS of $0.07, as higher net charge offs (NCO) weighed on year over year comparisons. Still, the company delivered its sixth consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability and OPRT-direct EPS registered $0.21.
OPRT reaffirmed 2026 guidance of adjusted EBITDA of $150-$165 million, up 6% at the midpoint. The company's adjusted EPS guidance of $1.50-$1.65 incorporates various exclusions and represents strong 16% growth at the midpoint; we estimate company-adjusted EPS of $1.54. Our 2026 EPS estimate (exludes fair value changes) is $1.13.
New CEO Doug Bland, only a few weeks into the role, emphasized improving through-cycle credit performance to rebuild durable, profitable growth.
Our 2026 estimates imply gradually improving credit performance and continued debt repayment driving 13% year over year growth in OPRT-adjusted EPS to $1.54 (guidance is $1.50-$1.65) and 7% growth in adjusted EBITDA to $159 million ($150-$165 million).
We expect OPRT to maintain a conservative approach to underwriting, as credit should improve throughout 2026. After a 12.7% net charge off (NCO) rate in 1Q:26, we expect the rate to step down to the low-11% range to reach the 2026 NCO rate guidance of 11.9% (+/- 50 basis points).
Balance sheet improvement remains a key growth driver. OPRT reduced interest expense by 16% year over year to $48 million in 1Q:26 on debt repayment. The company ended 1Q:26 with leverage of 6.8x (7.6x at 1Q:25).
We maintain our $10 price target, based on an approximate 7x multiple applied to our 2027 adjusted EPS estimate of $1.54. Our moderate risk rating reflects the economic sensitivity of OPRT's borrowing cohort and its credit products.